Title
Modeling nonlinearities and asymmetries in quarterly revenues of the US telecommunications industry
Date Issued
01 January 2005
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Sloboda M.J.
Publisher(s)
Elsevier
Abstract
Using the modeling cycle methodology proposed by Teräsvirta [Journal of the American Statistical Association 89 (1994) 208-218], we find strong evidence of nonlinearities in the growth rates of ten quarterly real revenues data of the US telecommunications industry. Estimation of LSTAR models shows interesting dynamics of adjustment and show that non-linear models improve simple linear models in terms of the estimated residual variance and other criteria. All estimated models pass the corresponding diagnostic statistics for nonautocorrelation, constancy of parameters and non-remaining nonlinearity. Performance of out-sample forecasts is also evaluated. Our results suggest that dynamics in adjustment of the enterprises is associated to internal regulation decisions more than innovation and competitiveness structural changes. In this respect, the Telecommunications Act of 1996 produced dramatic impact in the dynamics of the growth rate of real revenues and the structure of the enterprises analyzed. © 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Start page
137
End page
158
Volume
16
Issue
1 SPEC. ISS.
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Relaciones Industriales
Econometría
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-12144279909
Source
Structural Change and Economic Dynamics
ISSN of the container
0954349X
Sponsor(s)
This paper is drawn from the Michael J. Sloboda’s M.A. Thesis at the Department of Economics, University of Ottawa. We thank Serge Coulombe for comments on an earlier version of the paper, the Editor and two anonymous referees for very constructive comments that helped us to improve the paper. Rodrı́guez thanks financial support from the Faculty of Social Sciences of the University of Ottawa. All remaining errors are our responsability.
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus