Title
Covariate adjustment in randomized controlled trials with dichotomous outcomes increases statistical power and reduces sample size requirements
Date Issued
01 May 2004
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Erasmus Medical Center
Abstract
Objective Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) with dichotomous outcomes may be analyzed with or without adjustment for baseline characteristics (covariates). We studied type I error, power, and potential reduction in sample size with several covariate adjustment strategies. Study Design and Setting Logistic regression analysis was applied to simulated data sets (n=360) with different treatment effects, covariate effects, outcome incidences, and covariate prevalences. Treatment effects were estimated with or without adjustment for a single dichotomous covariate. Strategies included always adjusting for the covariate ("prespecified"), or only when the covariate was predictive or imbalanced. Results We found that the type I error was generally at the nominal level. The power was highest with prespecified adjustment. The potential reduction in sample size was higher with stronger covariate effects (from 3 to 46%, at 50% outcome incidence and covariate prevalence) and independent of the treatment effect. At lower outcome incidences and/or covariate prevalences, the reduction was lower. Conclusion We conclude that adjustment for a predictive baseline characteristic may lead to a potentially important increase in power of analyses of treatment effect. Adjusted analysis should, hence, be considered more often for RCTs with dichotomous outcomes. © 2004 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Start page
454
End page
460
Volume
57
Issue
5
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
PolÃticas de salud, Servicios de salud
EstadÃsticas, Probabilidad
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-2942592425
PubMed ID
Source
Journal of Clinical Epidemiology
ISSN of the container
08954356
Sponsor(s)
The authors wish to thank Yvonne Vergouwe, MSc, PhD, for her helpful comments on a previous version of this manuscript and Jennifer Kealy, MPH, for her suggestions on the English language. Adrián Hernández was supported by the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research (ZON/MW 908-02-117), and Ewout Steyerberg was supported by a fellowship from the Royal Netherlands Academy of Arts and Sciences (KNAW).
Sources of information:
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Scopus