Title
Evaluating elicited judgments of turtle captures for data-limited fisheries management
Date Issued
01 May 2020
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Arlidge W.N.S.
Ibanez-Erquiaga B.
Mangel J.C.
Squires D.
Milner-Gulland E.J.
Publisher(s)
Blackwell Publishing Inc.
Abstract
We compare judgments of green turtle (Chelonia mydas) captures elicited from local gillnet skippers and not-for-profit conservation organization employees operating in a small-scale fishery in Peru, to capture rates calculated from a voluntary at-sea observer program operating out of the same fishery. To reduce cognitive biases and more accurately quantify uncertainty in our experts’ judgments, we followed the IDEA (“Investigate,” “Discuss,” “Estimate,” and “Aggregate”) structured elicitation protocol. The elicited mean monthly estimates of green turtle gillnet captures within summer and winter fishing seasons were higher than the equivalent green turtle capture rates calculated from the fisheries observer data; however, no statistically significant differences were identified when comparing the means of the datasets using bootstrap hypothesis tests (winter observed difference-in-means: 83.15, adj mean ± SD = 42.39 ± 32.59; summer observed difference-in-means: 68.58, adj mean ± SD = 54.06 ± 41.22). We investigated respondent performance in relation to the observer data capture rates. The not-for-profit employees scored high on accuracy and calibration performance metrics. The gillnet skippers’ judgments ranked higher on informativeness yet lower on accuracy and calibration, potentially reflective of overconfident judgments. This research presents a new context for using the IDEA protocol, which may prove helpful for rapid, exploratory evaluations of capture and bycatch impact in data-limited small-scale fishery management scenarios.
Volume
2
Issue
5
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Conservación de la Biodiversidad
Acuicultura
DOI
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85106803211
Source
Conservation Science and Practice
Sponsor(s)
We would like to thank Stephanie Brittain for her advice. We thank the US National Ocean and Atmospheric Administration, National Marine Fisheries Service, Southwest Fisheries Science Center, and Pew Charitable Trusts through a Pew Marine Fellowship to E.J.M.‐G., for supporting this research. W.N.S.A. was supported by a PhD Commonwealth Scholarship from the Commonwealth Scholarship Commission in the U.K. and the University of Oxford (PhD scholarship NZCR‐2015‐174). J.A.S. and J.C.M. were supported by the National Fish and Wildlife Foundation (550011).
Commonwealth Scholarship Commission, Grant/Award Number: NZCR‐2015‐174; National Fish and Wildlife Foundation, Grant/Award Number: 550011; Pew Charitable Trusts Funding information
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus