Title
Neural Stochastic Process model applied to inflows series
Date Issued
01 January 2011
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
conference paper
Author(s)
Campos L.C.D.
Vellasco M.M.B.R.
Pontificia Universidad Católica de Río
Publisher(s)
Civil-Comp Press
Abstract
The generic model of stochastic process based on neural networks, called Neural Stochastic Process (NSP), was applied to the treatment of series of monthly inflows. These series correspond to Affluent Natural Energy (ANE), which is the aggregation of the inflows to the plants, comprising a reservoir equivalent of a subsystem of National Interconnected System (NIS). The series of ANE presents temporal correlation and spatial correlation. The NSP model in its original version can capture the temporal correlation, however, does not incorporate the spatial correlation of the series. This paper presents a variant of the NSP model aimed at the incorporation of spatial correlation of the series of ANE. The results indicated that the model is able to capture the behavior of the time series of all NIS subsystems, providing different scenarios for the next 5 years that embody the same temporal and spatial correlation of the historical data. ©Civil-Comp Press, 2011.
Volume
97
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ingeniería eléctrica, Ingeniería electrónica
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-84894224133
Source
Civil-Comp Proceedings
Resource of which it is part
Civil-Comp Proceedings
ISSN of the container
17593433
ISBN of the container
978-190508848-5
Conference
2nd International Conference on Soft Computing Technology in Civil, Structural and Environmental Engineering, CSC 2011
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus