Title
Growth paths and routes to exit: 'shadow of death' effects for new firms in Japan
Date Issued
01 October 2021
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Publisher(s)
Springer
Abstract
Research has recently emphasized that the non-survival of entrepreneurial firms can be disaggregated into distinct exit routes such as merger and acquisition (M&A), voluntary closure, and failure. Firm performance is an alleged determinant of exit route. However, there is a lack of evidence linking exit routes to their previous growth performance. We contribute to this gap by analyzing a cohort of incorporated firms in Japan and find some puzzles for the standard view. Our empirical analysis suggests that sales growth generally reduces the probability of exit by merger, voluntary liquidation, and also bankruptcy. However, the relationship is U-shaped—such that rapid growth actually increases the probability of exit. More generally, each of the three exit routes can occur all across the growth rate distribution. Large firms are more likely to exit via merger or bankruptcy, while small firms are more likely to exit via voluntary liquidation.
Start page
1145
End page
1173
Volume
57
Issue
3
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Economía, Negocios
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85084041744
Source
Small Business Economics
ISSN of the container
0921898X
Sponsor(s)
Funding text 1 We are grateful to Giulio Bottazzi, Elena Cefis, Masaru Karube, Francesco Lamperti, Sadao Nagaoka, Alessandro Nuvolari, and seminar participants at the Sant’Anna School of Advanced Studies (Pisa, Italy), the Innovation Economics Workshop, Hitotsubashi University (Tokyo, Japan), and University of Bergamo (Bergamo, Italy) for many helpful comments and discussions. Any remaining errors are ours alone. Funding text 2 Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research (B) (No. 26285060) and (C) (No.18K01639), Japan Society for the Promotion of Science. Acknowledgements
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus