Title
Evaluation of advanced wind power forecasting models - Results of the anemos project
Date Issued
01 December 2006
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
conference paper
Author(s)
Martí I.
Kariniotakis G.
Pinson P.
Nielsen T.S.
Madsen H.
Giebel G.
Usaola J.
Palomares A.M.
Brownsword R.
Tambke J.
Focken U.
Lange M.
Sideratos G.
Descombes G.
Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Abstract
An outstanding question posed today by end-users like power system operators, wind power producers or traders is what performance can be expected by state-of-the-art wind power prediction models. This paper presents results of the first ever intercomparison of a number of advanced prediction systems performed in the frame of the European project Anemos. A framework for error characterization has been developed consisting by a measure- and a distribution-oriented approach. This comparison has given a perspective of the possibilities and limitations of the forecasts in the different test cases that were defined. At a second stage, the homogenous comparison process has permitted to evaluate the possibility of obtaining better performance by exploiting the merits of individual models through model combination. The paper presents the methodology and results from the combination approach.
Start page
2473
End page
2481
Volume
3
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ingeniería eléctrica, Ingeniería electrónica Ingeniería ambiental y geológica
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-84876543170
ISBN of the container
9781622764679
Conference
European Wind Energy Conference and Exhibition 2006, EWEC 2006
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus