Title
A Stock Market Forecasting Model in Peru Using Artificial Intelligence and Computational Optimization Tools
Date Issued
01 January 2021
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
conference paper
Publisher(s)
Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Abstract
It is proposed the development of a forecast model capable of predicting the behavior of the price indices and quotes of the shares traded on the Lima Stock Exchange, based on the use of artificial intelligence techniques such as artificial neural networks and fuzzy logic based on computational optimization methods. The proposed model considers the forecast, in addition to the historical quantitative data of the share price, the inclusion of qualitative macroeconomic factors that significantly influence the behavior of the time series of the stock markets. It is about harnessing the ability of artificial neural networks to work with nonlinear quantitative data and their capacity for learning and also take advantage of the fuzzy logic technique to simulate the way of reasoning of human beings by defining judgment rules or knowledge base and their evaluation through inference mechanisms. The main contribution is to demonstrate that the proposed model is capable of obtaining more optimal approximations in the forecast of the financial time series.
Start page
79
End page
86
Volume
201
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ciencias de la computación Economía, Negocios
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85098187491
Source
Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies
Resource of which it is part
Smart Innovation, Systems and Technologies
ISSN of the container
21903018
ISBN of the container
9783030575472
Conference
5th Brazilian Technology Symposium, BTSym 2019
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus