Title
Selection of Characteristics by Hybrid Method: RFE, Ridge, Lasso, and Bayesian for the Power Forecast for a Photovoltaic System
Date Issued
01 January 2021
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
conference paper
Publisher(s)
Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Abstract
Currently, the generation of alternative energy from solar radiation with photovoltaic systems is growing, its efficiency depends on internal variables such as powers, voltages, currents; as well as external variables such as temperatures, irradiance, and load. To maximize performance, this research focused on the application of regularization techniques in a multiparametric linear regression model to predict the active power levels of a photovoltaic system from 14 variables that model the system under study. These variables affect the prediction to some degree, but some of them do not have so much preponderance in the final forecast, so it is convenient to eliminate them so that the processing cost and time are reduced. For this, we propose a hybrid selection method: first we apply the elimination of Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) within the selection of subsets and then to the obtained results we apply the following contraction regularization methods: Lasso, Ridge and Bayesian Ridge; then the results were validated demonstrating linearity, normality of the error terms, without autocorrelation and homoscedasticity. All four prediction models had an accuracy greater than 99.97%. Training time was reduced by 71% and 36% for RFE-Ridge and RFE-OLS respectively. The variables eliminated with RFE were “Energia total”, “Energia diaria” e “Irradiancia”, while the variable eliminated by Lasso was: “Frequencia". In all cases we see that the root mean square errors were reduced for RFE.Lasso by 0.15% while for RFE-Bayesian Ridge by 0.06%.
Start page
75
End page
87
Volume
1374
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ingeniería del Petróleo, (combustibles, aceites), Energía, Combustibles
Ingeniería ambiental
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85103459831
Source
Communications in Computer and Information Science
Resource of which it is part
Communications in Computer and Information Science
ISSN of the container
18650929
ISBN of the container
9789811607073
Conference
2nd International Conference on Soft Computing and its Engineering Applications, icSoft Comp 2020 Virtual, Online 11 December 2020through 12 December 2020
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus