Title
Persistence of unemployment in the canadian provinces
Date Issued
01 October 2011
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Abstract
The authors analyze the degree of persistence of the unemployment rates of the ten Canadian provinces using quarterly data for the period 1976:1-2005:4. They apply a two-break minimum Lagrange Multiplier (LM) unit root statistic, which, unlike standard unit root statistics (without or with breaks), makes it possible to find the stationarity of the different unemployment rates, giving support to the theory of the natural rate. The authors use the methodology of Bai and Perron (1998, 2003) to estimate a linear model with multiple structural changes to estimate the different degrees of persistence over the different regimes. The results suggest that the degree of persistence decreases when multiple breaks are allowed. Issues regarding the Canadian labor market, the insurance benefits program, interprovincial transfers, and interprovincial mobility are discussed as potential explanations for the results. © The Author(s) 2011.
Start page
438
End page
458
Volume
34
Issue
4
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Econometría
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-80052284247
Source
International Regional Science Review
ISSN of the container
01600176
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus