Title
DYNAMICAL ANALYSIS of A NOVEL DISCRETE FRACTIONAL SITRS MODEL for COVID-19
Date Issued
01 December 2021
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Hazara University
Publisher(s)
World Scientific
Abstract
In this paper, a discrete fractional Susceptible-Infected-Treatment-Recovered-Susceptible (SITRS) model for simulating the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic is presented. The model is a modification to a recent continuous-Time SITR model by taking into account the possibility that people who have been infected before can lose their temporary immunity and get reinfected. Moreover, a modification is suggested in the present model to correct the improper assumption that the infection rates of both normal susceptible and old aged/seriously diseased people are equal. This modification complies with experimental data. The equilibrium points for the proposed model are found and results of thorough stability analysis are discussed. A full numerical simulation is carried out and gives a better analysis of the disease spread, influences of model's parameters, and how to control the virus. Comparisons with clinical data are also provided.
Volume
29
Issue
8
Number
2140035
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Epidemiología
Salud pública, Salud ambiental
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85107376125
Source
Fractals
ISSN of the container
0218348X
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus