Title
A Case Study of a High Impact Snowfall Event in the Southern Andes of Peru: Dynamics and Evaluation of the Eta Model
Other title
Un Estudio de Caso de un Evento de Nevada de Alto Impacto en la Sierra Sur del Perú: Dinámica y Evaluación del Modelo Eta
Date Issued
01 January 2022
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Publisher(s)
Sociedade Brasileira de Meteorologia
Abstract
The performance of the Eta model predictions was evaluated during the occurrence of the generalized snowfall event that caused the greatest social impact in the southern highlands of Peru (SSP) during August 2013. The evaluation focused on the synoptic scale of South America (A1), and in the regions close to SSP (A2), 96, 48 and 24 hours in advance compared to the ERA-Interim Reanalysis, focusing on the meteorological variables that trigger its occurrence. The event was associated with the invasion of the subtropical jet stream (JST) and a deep trough close to SSP in the upper troposphere, a Cut Off Low (COL) in the middle troposphere and high values of relative humidity on SSP. It was found that a good prediction of the location of the JST on A2 leads to a better prediction of vertical movement and divergence, variables that intensifies the occurrence of snowfall, resulting in 24-hour forecast being the most accurate. Higher errors were obtained at high troposphere levels because of the intensification of dynamic parameters due to the invasion of the JST.
Start page
1
End page
18
Volume
37
Issue
1
Language
Spanish
OCDE Knowledge area
Ciencias del medio ambiente
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85134413537
Source
Revista Brasileira de Meteorologia
ISSN of the container
01027786
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus
Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú