Title
Uncertainty analysis and risk assessment methodology in early development fields
Date Issued
01 January 2014
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
conference paper
Author(s)
Publisher(s)
Society of Petroleum Engineers (SPE)
Abstract
The development of a new field requires a special effort to recognize and evaluate static and dynamic reservoir uncertainties. Since there is limited information of the fields during exploration and appraisal phases, reservoir modeling is such a challenging task towards managing uncertainties and assessing the risk associated to it. The first step towards managing reservoir uncertainties is to identify and rank key reservoir parameters affecting hydrocarbon in place and recovery factor; then, key variables impact should be quantified by tornado or Pareto plots. The current study gives an approach about Petrel™ tools in order to perform sensitivities and uncertainties analysis to some parameters; therefore, obtaining a reliable variation range of main outputs in this evaluation; in addition, achieving an indicator of main variables that affects the original volumes in place and recovery factors. Copyright 2014, Society of Petroleum Engineers.
Start page
2305
End page
2313
Volume
3
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ingeniería del Petróleo, (combustibles, aceites), Energía, Combustibles
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-84908480241
Resource of which it is part
SPE Latin American and Caribbean Petroleum Engineering Conference Proceedings
ISBN of the container
978-163266888-2
Conference
SPE Latin American and Caribbean Petroleum Engineering Conference 2014, LACPEC 2014 Maracaibo 21 May 2014 through 23 May 2014
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus