Title
Evaluation of clinical prediction rules for respiratory isolation of inpatients with suspected pulmonary tuberculosis
Date Issued
01 March 2011
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Publisher(s)
Oxford University Press
Abstract
Background: In the framework of hospital infection control, various clinical prediction rules (CPRs) for respiratory isolation of patients with suspected pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) have been developed. Our aim was to evaluate their performance in an emergency department setting with a high prevalence of PTB. Methods: We searched the MEDLINE and OVID databases to identify CPRs to predict PTB. We used a previously collected database containing clinical, radiographical, and microbiological information on patients attending an emergency department with respiratory complaints, and we applied each CPR to every patient and compared the result with culture for Mycobacterium tuberculosis as the reference standard. We also simulated the proportion of isolated suspects and missed cases for PTB prevalences of 5% and 30%. Results: We withheld 13 CPRs for evaluation. We had complete data on 345 patients. Most CPRs achieved a high sensitivity but very low specificity and very low positive predictive value. Mylotte's score, which includes results of sputum smear as a predictive finding, was the best-performing CPR. It attained a sensitivity of 88.9% and a specificity of 63.9%. However, at a 30% PTB prevalence, 498 of 1000 individuals with suspected PTB would have to be isolated; 267 of these cases would be true PTB cases, and 33 cases would be missed. Two consecutive sputum smears had a sensitivity of 75.6% and a specificity of 99.7%. Conclusions: In a setting with a high prevalence of PTB, only 1 of the 13 assessed CPRs demonstrated high sensitivity combined with satisfactory specificity. Our results highlight the need for local validation of CPRs before their application. © The Author 2011.
Start page
595
End page
603
Volume
52
Issue
5
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Epidemiología
Enfermedades infecciosas
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-79951825583
PubMed ID
Source
Clinical Infectious Diseases
ISSN of the container
10584838
Sponsor(s)
We thank Freddy Perez, who retrieved the clinical information. Financial support. The Damian Foundation and a PhD scholarship through the Institute of Tropical Medicine (ITM)-Directorate-General for Development Cooperation (DGDC) Framework program of the Belgian Cooperation (to L.S.). Potential conflicts of interest. All authors: no conflicts.
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus