Title
Predictive control approach for long-term hydropower scheduling using annual inflow forecasting model
Date Issued
01 January 2009
Access level
open access
Resource Type
conference paper
Author(s)
Campinas State University
Publisher(s)
IFAC Secretariat
Abstract
This paper proposes an annual inflow forecasting model in an open-loop feedback control operational policy for long-term hydropower scheduling. A deterministic optimization model precisely represents hydropower generation by taking into consideration water head as a nonlinear function of storage, discharge and spillage. The inflow is made available by a forecasting model based on a fuzzy inference system that captures the nonlinear correlation of consecutive inflows on an annual basis, with disaggregation of the results on a monthly basis. The performance of the proposed approach is evaluated by simulation for a multi-reservoir system, based on historical inflow records and compared to the same approach on monthly basis. The results show that the proposed approach leads to an operational performance closer to that of the perfect foresight solution, providing lower spillages and higher average hydropower efficiency and generation.
Start page
191
End page
196
Volume
42
Issue
9
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ingeniería eléctrica, Ingeniería electrónica
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-84894531212
Source
IFAC Proceedings Volumes (IFAC-PapersOnline)
ISSN of the container
14746670
Conference
IFAC Symposium on Power Plants and Power Systems Control, PP and PSC 2009 6 July 2009 through 8 July 2009
Sponsor(s)
The authors gratefully acknowledge the contributions of R. Salgado for the running some of the case study simulations. This research was supported by the Foundation for the Support of Research of the State of Sao Paulo (FAPESP) and the Brazilian Naitonal Council for Research (CNPq).
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus