Title
Calibration of agricultural risk programming models
Date Issued
16 April 2015
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
INRA
Publisher(s)
Elsevier B.V.
Abstract
Positive Mathematical Programming (PMP) is one of themost commonly usedmethods for calibrating activity programming models. In this article we consider PMP as a calibration method for risk programming models with amean-variance (E-V) specication. We argue that the restrictive theoretical assumptions employed by typical linear E-V models limit their applicability in analyzing the effects of decoupled payments on agricultural production decisions. Furthermore, the requirement for eliciting a risk aversion coefficient renders such models incompatible with the PMP method. For this reason we propose a nonlinear E-V specification and develop a PMP-based procedure for its calibration which does not aim at introducing (further) nonlinearities in the objective function, but at recovering the "true" distribution of wealth that will allow the final model to reproduce base year observations. We also examine how our approach relates to the recent PMP developments on calibration against elasticity priors and we show how such priors can be used for the calibration of the nonlinear E-V model.
Start page
536
End page
545
Volume
242
Issue
2
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Agronomía
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-84920678252
Source
European Journal of Operational Research
ISSN of the container
03772217
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus