Title
Daily load forecasting using quick propagation neural network with a special holiday encoding
Date Issued
01 December 2007
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
conference paper
Publisher(s)
Elsevier B.V.
Abstract
In the last decade, neural networks have been applied in Daily Load Forecasting. Nevertheless, two main problems are still present for using neural networks in this domain: first, poor load forecasting in holidays because complex load behavior, and second, the lack of a global model for both holidays and non-holidays. To solve these two problems, we propose a new special holiday encoding that considers holidays and its preceding and following days which are also affected by the holiday. This proposed encoding is used in conjunction with quick propagation neural network. In the experiments the proposed holiday encoding is compared with other encoding based on the forecasting error of quick propagation. To evaluate their performances, we used a Peruvian load data set. The results show that the proposed holiday encoding produce better forecasting results than the results produced by other holiday encoding. Finally, these same results are also better than those results obtained by using ARIMA model which is a statistical technique also used in practice. ©2007 IEEE.
Start page
1935
End page
1940
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ingeniería eléctrica, Ingeniería electrónica
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-51749096664
ISBN
9781424413805
Resource of which it is part
IEEE International Conference on Neural Networks - Conference Proceedings
ISBN of the container
978-142441380-5
Conference
2007 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, IJCNN 2007 12 August 2007 through 17 August 2007
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus