Title
A finite mixture mixed proportion regression model for classification problems in longitudinal voting data
Date Issued
01 January 2021
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Universidade de São Paulo
Publisher(s)
Taylor and Francis Ltd.
Abstract
Continuous clustered proportion data often arise in various areas of the social and political sciences where the response variable of interest is a proportion (or percentage). An example is the behavior of the proportion of voters favorable to a political party in municipalities (or cities) of a country over time. This behavior can be different depending on the region of the country, giving rise to groups (or clusters) with similar profiles. For this kind of data, we propose a finite mixture of a random effects regression model based on the L-Logistic distribution. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is tailored to obtain posterior distributions of the unknown quantities of interest through a Bayesian approach. To illustrate the proposed method, with emphasis on analysis of clusters, we analyze the proportion of votes for a political party in presidential elections in different municipalities observed over time, and then identify groups according to electoral behavior at different levels of favorable votes.
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Matemáticas
Ciencia política
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85118938157
Source
Journal of Applied Statistics
ISSN of the container
02664763
DOI of the container
10.1080/02664763.2021.1998392
Sponsor(s)
The second author was partially supported by the Brazilian agency FAPESP [grant number 2017/15452-5].
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus