Title
Observed and Projected Hydroclimate Changes in the Andes
Date Issued
17 March 2020
Access level
open access
Resource Type
review
Author(s)
Pabón-Caicedo J.D.
Arias P.A.
Carril A.F.
Borrel L.F.
Goubanova K.
Masiokas M.
Solman S.
Villalba R.
Publisher(s)
Frontiers Media S.A.
Abstract
The Andes is the most biodiverse region across the globe. In addition, some of the largest urban areas in South America are located within this region. Therefore, ecosystems and human population are affected by hydroclimate changes reported at global, regional and local scales. This paper summarizes progress of knowledge about long-term trends observed during the last two millennia over the entire Andes, with more detail for the period since the second half of the 20th century, and presents a synthesis of climate change projections by the end of the 21st century. In particular, this paper focuses on temperature, precipitation and surface runoff in the Andes. Changes in the Andean cryosphere are not included here since this particular topic is discussed in other paper in this Frontiers special issue, and elsewhere (e.g. IPCC,2019b). While previous works have reviewed the hydroclimate of South America and particular sectors (i.e., Amazon and La Plata basins, the Altiplano, Northern South America, etc.) this review includes for the first time the entire Andes region, considering all latitudinal ranges: tropical (North of 27°S), subtropical (27°S−37°S) and extratropical (South of 37°S). This paper provides a comprehensive view of past and recent changes, as well as available climate change projections, over the entire Andean range. From this review, the main knowledge gaps are highlighted and urgent research necessities in order to provide more mechanistic understanding of hydroclimate changes in the Andes and more confident projections of its possible changes in association with global climate change.
Volume
8
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Oceanografía, Hidrología, Recursos hídricos Meteorología y ciencias atmosféricas Investigación climática
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85082668890
Source
Frontiers in Earth Science
ISSN of the container
22966463
Sponsor(s)
The authors acknowledge Geusep Ortega for his help with Figure 7 and the two reviewers for their insightful comments on this manuscript. Funding. This review manuscript has been achieved as part of the ANDEX program (www.gewex.org/project/andex/), which is a prospective Regional Hydroclimate Project (RHP) of the GEWEX Hydroclimatology Panel (GHP). JP-C was partially supported by Centro Internacional para la Investigación del Fenómeno de El Niño (CIIFEN). PA was supported by Universidad de Antioquia through the Grant CODI PRG2017-16264. AC also thanks the ANPCyT (Argentina) that partially supported this work through the PICT-2015-3097. JE was supported by the French AMANECER-MOPGA project funded by ANR and IRD (ref. ANR-18-MPGA-0008). MM and RV were funded by Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas (CONICET) – Argentina. RV was partially supported by BNP Paribas through the project THEMES. Finally, this article has the support of UNESCO’s Intergovernmental Hydrological Programme through the Working Group Hydrogeomorphology of the Andes-Amazon Basin in which PA, JE, and WL-C participated. The views presented in this manuscript are those of the authors and do not compromise the Working Group or UNESCO in any way.
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú Scopus