Title
How may the reduction of some cardiovascular diseases affect brazilian population’s life expectancy?
Other title
[Como a redução de algumas doenças cardiovasculares pode afetar a expectativa de vida da população brasileira?]
[¿cómo puede afectar la reducción de algunas enfermedades cardiovasculares la esperanza de vida de la población brasileña?]
Date Issued
01 January 2021
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Araujo R.H.O.
Barboni A.R.
Silva D.R.P.
Gomes T.N.Q.
Sampaio R.A.C.
Silva R.J.S.
CRÓNICAS, Centro de Excelencia en Enfermedades Crónicas
Publisher(s)
Associacao Brasileira de Estudos Populacionais
Abstract
This study aimed to analyze the impact of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) on life expectancy (LE) in the Brazilian population; and to identify how the hypothetical reduction in mortality from 5 to 30%, as well as the hypothetical scenario with no deaths (i.e., elimination) of these diseases would affect LE. This is a simulation study using national cross-sectional data. To identify the impact of CVDs on LE, we used multiple decrement life table models, considering hypothetical CVDs reductions in mortality from 5 to 30% and their elimination. The estimated overall potential gains in LE [years (%)] from the elimination of ischemic disease, hypertensive disease, and cerebrovascular disease were 1.44y (2%) and 1.31y (1.7%), 0.51y (0.7%) and 0.75y (1%), and 1.28y (1.8%) and 1.62y (2.1%), for males and females, respectively. The largest gains in LE were observed among those who live in Brazil’s Northeast region. For the overall population, the estimated gains in LE linked to a 5% reduction in CVD mortality for males and females were 0.07y (0.1%) and 0.06y (0.08%) for ischemic disease, 0.02y (0.03%) and 0.04y (0.05%) for hypertensive disease, and 0.06y (0.08%) and 0.07y (0.09%) for cerebrovascular disease. A hypothetical decrease of 30% in mortality by CVDs would lead to gains in LE, for males and females, of 0.41y (0.6%) and 0.37y (0.5%) for ischemic disease, 0.15y (0.2%) and 0.22y (0.3%) for hypertensive disease, and 0.36y (0.5%) and 0.45y (0.6%) for cerebrovascular disease. Thus, investment towards improving CVDs, including CVD prevention efforts, would increase LE in Brazil, especially in less developed regions.
Volume
38
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Políticas de salud, Servicios de salud
Sistema cardiaco, Sistema cardiovascular
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85117781300
Source
Revista Brasileira de Estudos de Populacao
ISSN of the container
01023098
Sponsor(s)
This study was financed in part by the Coordination for the Improvement of Higher Education Personnel (Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior – CAPES, Brazil) – Finance Code 001.
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus