Title
Global burden of cancer attributable to high body-mass index in 2012: A population-based study
Date Issued
01 January 2015
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Arnold M.
Pandeya N.
Byrnes G.
Renehan A.G.
Stevens G.A.
Ezzati M.
Ferlay J.
Romieu I.
Dikshit R.
Forman D.
Soerjomataram I.
CRÓNICAS, Centro de Excelencia en Enfermedades Crónicas
Publisher(s)
Lancet Publishing Group
Abstract
Background: High body-mass index (BMI; defined as 25 kg/m2 or greater) is associated with increased risk of cancer. To inform public health policy and future research, we estimated the global burden of cancer attributable to high BMI in 2012. Methods: In this population-based study, we derived population attributable fractions (PAFs) using relative risks and BMI estimates in adults by age, sex, and country. Assuming a 10-year lag-period between high BMI and cancer occurrence, we calculated PAFs using BMI estimates from 2002 and used GLOBOCAN2012 data to estimate numbers of new cancer cases attributable to high BMI. We also calculated the proportion of cancers that were potentially avoidable had populations maintained their mean BMIs recorded in 1982. We did secondary analyses to test the model and to estimate the effects of hormone replacement therapy (HRT) use and smoking. Findings: Worldwide, we estimate that 481 000 or 3·6% of all new cancer cases in adults (aged 30 years and older after the 10-year lag period) in 2012 were attributable to high BMI. PAFs were greater in women than in men (5·4% vs 1·9%). The burden of attributable cases was higher in countries with very high and high human development indices (HDIs; PAF 5·3% and 4·8%, respectively) than in those with moderate (1·6%) and low HDIs (1·0%). Corpus uteri, postmenopausal breast, and colon cancers accounted for 63·6% of cancers attributable to high BMI. A quarter (about 118-000) of the cancer cases related to high BMI in 2012 could be attributed to the increase in BMI since 1982. Interpretation: These findings emphasise the need for a global effort to abate the increasing numbers of people with high BMI. Assuming that the association between high BMI and cancer is causal, the continuation of current patterns of population weight gain will lead to continuing increases in the future burden of cancer.
Start page
36
End page
46
Volume
16
Issue
1
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Oncología
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-84924910144
PubMed ID
Source
The Lancet Oncology
ISSN of the container
14702045
Sponsor(s)
This project was funded by the World Cancer Research Fund International (grant number SG 2012/619). NP was funded by the Australian National Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC project 31691). IS was funded by a Marie Curie Intra-European Fellowship from the European Commission (project number 302050). We would like to thank Rachel Thompson and Martin Wiseman from World Cancer Research Fund International for their crucial input at several stages of the project. JJM is with the CRONICAS Centre of Excellence in Chronic Diseases at Cayetano Heredia University (Lima, Peru), supported by federal funds from the US National Heart, Lung And Blood Institute (National Institutes of Health, Department of Health and Human Services), under contract number HHSN268200900033C. GAS is a staff member of WHO. Data for body-mass index by hormone replacement therapy status were collected by the WHO MONICA investigators and have been made available for this publication by the WHO MONICA project. The views expressed in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the decisions, policy, or views of WHO, nor the views of individual investigators from the WHO MONICA project.
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus