Title
Selecting between autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models: An empirical application to the volatility of stock returns in Peru
Other title
Seleccion de modelos de heterocedasticidad autorregresiva condicional: una aplicacion a la volatilidad de los retornos bursatiles en Peru
Date Issued
01 January 2017
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Publisher(s)
Universidad Alberto Hurtado
Abstract
An extensive family of univariate models of autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity is applied to Peru's daily stock market returns for the period January 3, 1992 to March 30, 2012 with four different specifications related to the distribution of the disturbance term. This concerns capturing the asymmetries of the behavior of the volatility, as well as the presence of heavy tails in these time series. Using different statistical tests and different criteria, the results show that: (i) the FIGARCH (1,1)-t is the best model among all symmetric models while the FIEGARCH (1,1)-Sk is selected from the class of asymmetrical models. Also, the model FIAPARCH (1,1)-t is selected from the class of asymmetric power models; (ii) the three models capture well the behavior of the conditional volatility; (iii) however, the empirical distribution of the standardized residuals shows that the behavior of the tails is not well captured by either model; (iv) the three models suggest the presence of long memory with estimates of the fractional parameter close to the region of nonstationarity.
Start page
69
End page
94
Volume
32
Issue
1
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Econometría
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85018306163
Source
Revista de Analisis Economico
ISSN of the container
07165927
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus