Title
Dengue incidence and sociodemographic conditions in Pucallpa, Peruvian Amazon: What role for modification of the dengue-temperature relationship?
Date Issued
01 January 2020
Access level
open access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Charette M.
Berrang-Ford L.
Coomes O.
Kulkarni M.
Harper S.L.
Publisher(s)
American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
Abstract
Dengue is a climate-sensitive disease with an increasing global burden. Although the relationship between meteorological conditions and dengue incidence is well established, less is known about the modifying nature of sociodemographic variables on that relationship. We assess the strength and direction of sociodemographic effect modification of the temperature-dengue relationship in the second largest city of the Peruvian Amazon to identify populations that may have heightened vulnerability to dengue under varying climate conditions. We used weekly dengue counts and averaged meteorological variables to evaluate the association between disease incidence, meteorological exposures, and sociodemographic effect modifiers (gender, age, and district) in negative binomial regression models. District was included to consider geographical effect modification. We found that being a young child or elderly, being female, and living in the district of Manantay increased dengue's incidence rate ratio (IRR) as a result of 1°C increase in weekly mean temperature (IRR = 2.99, 95% CI: 1.99-4.50 for women less than 5 years old and IRR = 2.86, 95% CI: = 1.93-4.22 for women older than 65 years, both estimates valid for the rainy season). The effect of temperature on dengue depended on season, with stronger effects during rainy seasons. Sociodemographic variables can provide options for intervention to mitigate health impacts with a changing climate. Our results indicate that patterns of baseline risk between regions and sociodemographic conditions can differ substantially from trends in climate sensitivity. These results challenge the assumption that the distribution of climate change impacts will be patterned similarly to existing social gradients in health.
Start page
180
End page
190
Volume
102
Issue
1
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Parasitología
Investigación climática
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85077761336
PubMed ID
Source
American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
ISSN of the container
00029637
Sponsor(s)
Acknowledgments: We would like to thank the Dirección Regional de Salud Ucayali and the Servicio Nacional de Meteorología e Hidrología del Perú, who provided data for the analysis. We would like to show our gratitude to Mya Sherman and Carol Zavaleta for their fieldwork-related guidance throughout this investigation. We are also immensely grateful to Rosa Mercedes Silvera for her assistance and research contributions throughout the investigation. We thank Christian Abi-zaid, Juan Aladino Valdiviezo-Alegria, and Félix Sánchez, for providing us qualitative information about Pucallpa’s socioeconomic landscape, and Marilyn Scott for her scientific guidance. This work was funded by the Fonds de recherche du Québec-Santé (FRQS), and a Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR) Open Operating Grant. This research was approved by the McGill University Research Ethics Board in Montreal, Canada.
We would like to thank the Direcci?n Regional de Salud Ucayali and the Servicio Nacional de Meteorolog?a e Hidrolog?a del Per?, who provided data for the analysis. We would like to show our gratitude to Mya Sherman and Carol Zavaleta for their fieldwork-related guidance throughout this investigation. We are also immensely grateful to Rosa Mercedes Silvera for her assistance and research contributions throughout the investigation. We thank Christian Abizaid, Juan Aladino Valdiviezo-Alegria, and F?lix S?nchez, for providing us qualitative information about Pucallpa's socioeconomic landscape, and Marilyn Scott for her scientific guidance. This work was funded by the Fonds de recherche du Qu?bec- Sant? (FRQS), and a Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR) Open Operating Grant. This research was
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