Title
Calibrating process-based marine ecosystem models: An example case using Atlantis
Date Issued
15 November 2019
Access level
open access
Resource Type
review
Author(s)
Pethybridge H.R.
Weijerman M.
Perrymann H.
Audzijonyte A.
Porobic J.
McGregor V.
Girardin R.
Bulman C.
Sinerchia M.
Hutton T.
Lozano-Montes H.
Mori M.
Novaglio C.
Fay G.
Gorton R.
Fulton E.
Rhodes University
Publisher(s)
Elsevier B.V.
Abstract
Calibration of complex, process-based ecosystem models is a timely task with modellers challenged by many parameters, multiple outputs of interest and often a scarcity of empirical data. Incorrect calibration can lead to unrealistic ecological and socio-economic predictions with the modeller's experience and available knowledge of the modelled system largely determining the success of model calibration. Here we provide an overview of best practices when calibrating an Atlantis marine ecosystem model, a widely adopted framework that includes the parameters and processes comprised in many different ecosystem models. We highlight the importance of understanding the model structure and data sources of the modelled system. We then focus on several model outputs (biomass trajectories, age distributions, condition at age, realised diet proportions, and spatial maps) and describe diagnostic routines that can assist modellers to identify likely erroneous parameter values. We detail strategies to fine tune values of four groups of core parameters: growth, predator-prey interactions, recruitment and mortality. Additionally, we provide a pedigree routine to evaluate the uncertainty of an Atlantis ecosystem model based on data sources used. Describing best and current practices will better equip future modellers of complex, processed-based ecosystem models to provide a more reliable means of explaining and predicting the dynamics of marine ecosystems. Moreover, it promotes greater transparency between modellers and end-users, including resource managers.
Volume
412
Number
108822
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Oceanografía, Hidrología, Recursos hídricos
Subjects
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85072614565
Source
Ecological Modelling
ISSN of the container
03043800
Sponsor(s)
Japan Society for the Promotion of Science - 19J01838 - KAKEN
Funded by a CSIRO Community of Practice internal investment project and contributions from NOAA, NIWA, IFREMER, and IMR's REDUS Project. KOC acknowledges support from the Claude Leon Foundation through a postdoctoral fellowship and the resources from the Cluster for High Performance Computing.
Funded by a CSIRO Community of Practice internal investment project and contributions from NOAA , NIWA , IFREMER , and IMR’s REDUS Project. KOC acknowledges support from the Claude Leon Foundation through a postdoctoral fellowship and the resources from the Cluster for High Performance Computing.
Sources of information:
Directorio de Producción Científica
Scopus