Title
Streamflow forecasting using neural networks and fuzzy clustering techniques
Date Issued
01 December 2005
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
conference paper
Author(s)
Soares S.
Magalhães M.
Ballini R.
Universidade Estadual de Campinas
Abstract
Planning of hydroelectric systems is a complex and difficult task once it involves non-linear production characteristics and depends on numerous variables. A key variable is the streamflow. Streamflow values covering the entire planning period must be accurately forecasted because they strongly influence energy production. This paper suggests an application of a FIR neural network and a fuzzy clustering-based model to evaluate one-step and multi-step ahead predictions. Results are compared to the ones obtained by a periodic autoregressive model (PAR). It is interesting to apply a recurrent neural network for prediction task due to its ability for temporal processing and efficiency to solve nonlinear problems. The results show a generally better performance of the FIR neural network for the case studied. © 2005 IEEE.
Start page
2631
End page
2636
Volume
4
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Oceanografía, Hidrología, Recursos hídricos
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-33750127770
Source
Proceedings of the International Joint Conference on Neural Networks
ISBN of the container
9780780390485
Conference
Proceedings of the International Joint Conference on Neural Networks
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus