Title
Adaptive combination of forecasts with application to wind energy
Date Issued
01 October 2008
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Author(s)
Universidad Carlos III de Madrid
Abstract
This article proposes an adaptive forecast combination procedure, denoted as AEC, that tends to be similar to the use of the best available predictor in a time varying environment. In addition, a two-step procedure is proposed to allow the use of alternative combination procedures. In the first step, different combination procedures are used, the AEC among others. In the second step, the AEC is used to combine the combinations from the first step. The proposed procedures are applied to two wind farms where alternative forecasts were available, showing the advantage of the proposed method. © 2008 International Institute of Forecasters.
Start page
679
End page
693
Volume
24
Issue
4
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ingeniería ambiental y geológica Ingeniería del Petróleo, (combustibles, aceites), Energía, Combustibles
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-55349144840
Source
International Journal of Forecasting
ISSN of the container
01692070
DOI of the container
10.1016/j.ijforecast.2008.08.008
Source funding
Comisión Interministerial de Ciencia y Tecnología
ANEMOS
Sponsor(s)
The author wishes to express his appreciation to James W. Taylor and two anonymous referees for their valuable comments and suggestions. This research was supported in part by CICYT grant SEJ2007-64500, REE (Spanish SO), and the ANEMOS plus project (TREN/07/FP6EN/S07.71594/038692).
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus