Title
A constructive-fuzzy system modeling for time series forecasting
Date Issued
01 December 2007
Access level
open access
Resource Type
conference paper
Author(s)
Universidad Estadual de Campinas
Abstract
This paper suggests a constructive fuzzy system modeling for time series prediction. The model proposed is based on Takagi-Sugeno system and it comprises two phases. First, a fuzzy rule base structure is initialized and adjusted via the Expectation Maximization optimization technique (EM). In the second phase the initial system is modified and the structure is determined in a constructive fashion. This phase implements a constructive version of the EM algorithm, as well as adding and pruning operators. The constructive learning process reduces model complexity and defines automatically the structure of the system, providing an efficient time series model. The performance of the proposed model is verified for two series of the reduced data set at the Neural Forecasting Competition, for one to eighteen steps ahead forecasting. Results show the effectiveness of the constructive time series model. ©2007 IEEE.
Start page
2908
End page
2913
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Ingeniería, Tecnología
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-51749088339
ISBN
142441380X 9781424413805
Source
IEEE International Conference on Neural Networks - Conference Proceedings
Resource of which it is part
IEEE International Conference on Neural Networks - Conference Proceedings
ISSN of the container
10987576
ISBN of the container
978-142441380-5
Conference
International Joint Conference on Neural Networks, IJCNN 2007
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus