Title
Future Scenarios for Potato Demand, Supply and Trade in South America to 2030
Date Issued
01 March 2017
Access level
metadata only access
Resource Type
journal article
Publisher(s)
Springer Netherlands
Abstract
This paper presents estimates for potato demand, supply and trade in South America to the year 2030 according to three scenarios: baseline, high demand and limited supply. The results highlight the importance of Brazil with its massive population and low per capita consumption of potato as a key driver of regional outcomes. According to the baseline and high demand scenarios, improved productivity in Andean countries such as Ecuador and Colombia will influence output and consumption increases in those locations as well. The potential adverse effects of the advent of climate change on the potato sector in more vulnerable growing areas in the region will result in much more modest increases in output in those locations according to the low supply scenario. While domestic potato marketing will continue to expand, foreign trade in potatoes remains small in absolute terms and as a percentage of national and sub-regional output. The findings call attention to opportunities for agribusiness initiatives in input markets as well as for both fresh and processed potato products for human consumption in the decades ahead.
Start page
23
End page
45
Volume
60
Issue
1
Language
English
OCDE Knowledge area
Agricultura Negocios, Administración
Scopus EID
2-s2.0-85015702075
Source
Potato Research
ISSN of the container
00143065
Sponsor(s)
This work was undertaken as part of the CGIAR Research Program on Policies, Institutions, and Markets (PIM) led by the International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI). Funding support for this study was provided by the CGIAR Research Program on Policies, Institutions and Markets and the CGIAR Research Program on Roots, Tubers and Bananas (RTB). The opinions expressed here belong to the authors and do not necessarily reflect those of PIM, IFPRI or CGIAR. We are grateful to Henry Juarez of CIP’s Research Informatics Unit for the map of potato cultivation in SAM and to Victor Suarez for the help with secondary data collection.
Sources of information: Directorio de Producción Científica Scopus